The First Tee – WGC Mexico Championship by Jason Rouslin

Fantasy Golf Insider Staff
By Fantasy Golf Insider Staff February 28, 2017 00:58

One of three trips the players will make across the Gulf over the next few weeks, but this week it’s only a select few golfers, as the PGA Tour takes a week off. One of my favorite weeks of the year is next week, where I’ll be giving you some great content from the Innisbrook grounds. Pro-Am standouts, practice round, etc. I’ll be there to see it all. But first, let’s all take a second and let the sweet sounds of James Taylor set us up for the WGC-Mexico Championship. Click his name, you’ll thank me.

DraftKing Pro Results:  Well, for the first time in the history of the First Tee we had a gamer take 7/10 top 10 spots. Wow.

JAE686-

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 1
  • Top 10’s 300: 2
  • Top 5’s 1060/Top 3’s 5300: 2
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 2
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results: Pretty decent week overall for Jason. Let’s see how he did it.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 51st
    • 33 Entries:150
      • Best 11th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 25
      • Best Finish: 20th
    • 1060/1500-7th good enough to cash* back to back weeks.
    • 5300- 4th– I think that cashed.
  • Golfers Used: 3/33
    • Molinari-53%
    • Koepka*-42%
    • Cab-Bello-40%
    • Kaymer-39%
    • Scott-36%
    • Garcia-33%
    • Horschel/Grillo-27%
    • Berger*/Hatton/Woodland/Casey/Howell-22%
    • Howell-20%
    • Fowler-4%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 38
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 155%/400
    • Average Number of Players Used: 44
    • Average High Ownership: 48
    • Players Above 20% Ownership- 15
    • Players Below 5% Ownership- 11
    • Lineups w/ 6/6- 30

SaahilSud

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:1
  • Top 10’s 300: 2
  • Top 5’s 1060/Top 3’s 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 2
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0 

Weekly Results: What looked to be a promising start very early Thursday, ended up being a terrible week for Saahil.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 22177
    • 33 Entries:150
      • Best 2511th <Basically a min cash…ouch
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 25
      • Best Finish: None even close to the top 25
    • 1060/1500- 25th
    • 5300-10th
  • Core Golfers Used: 3/33 contests
    • Casey-86%
    • Bradley*-76%
    • Leishman-68%
    • Molinari-54%
    • Grillo-48%
    • Justin Thomas*- 41%
    • Scott-40%
    • List-36%
    • Glover-32%
    • Ooshazen-27%
    • English-23%
    • Fowler-0%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used this Week: 34
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 280%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 30
    • Average High Ownership: 90%
    • Players above 20%- 10
    • Players below 5%- 18
    • Lineups with 6/6- 11

Jetblackx

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 1
  • Top 10’s $300: 2
  • Top 5’s 1060/Top 3’s 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 4
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 2
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 2

Weekly Results: Not a great week for our top guy this week… Missed cashing on the big tourneys, and no top lineups elsewhere.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 2219th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 287th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 25
      • Best Finish: none in the top 25
    • 1060-did not finish in the top 25
    • 5300-9th
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Cab-Belo-61%
    • Garcia/Fitzpatrick-45%
    • Willet*-35%
    • Koepka*-23%
    • Fowler-18%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 53
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 170%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 50
    • Average High Ownership: 55
    • Players Used Over 20% Ownership- 4
    • Players Used Under 5%- 18
    • Lineups with 6/6- 16

FlavorFlav-  

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 2
  • Top 10’s 300: 3
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 3
  • Top 10’s (Low $ GPPs): 0
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results:  Cashed in the 5300, so right off the bat he probably breaks even. Let’s look at his other results.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 493rd
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 72nd
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 25
      • Best Finish: 16th
    • 1060-8th     
    • 5300-3rd
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Hatton-47%
    • Cab-bell-43%
    • Kaymer-42%
    • Grillo-40%
    • JT*-28%
    • Spaun-26%
    • Oost/Bradley*/Grace**-24%
    • Horschel/Garcia/Stanley*-21%
    • Fowler-11%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 42
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 170%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 44
    • Average High Ownership: 50
    • Players Used Over 20% Ownership-12
    • Players Used Under 5% Ownership- 11
    • Lineups with 6/6= 30+

CSURAM88-

 Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 2
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 1
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results: Pretty bad week, as goes Jennings results lately. One week bad one good.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries:
      • Best Finish: NA
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 652nd
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 0
      • Best Finish: NA
    • 1060- 21st
    • 5300- 16th    
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Woodland/Howell/Casey/List-45%
    • Steele/Grillo/Knox/Fitzpatrick-42%
    • Cab-Bello/Berger*-40%
    • Grace*/Pieters*-33%
    • Kisner/Garcia-31%
    • Hatton-21%
    • Fowler-7%

Players Used & Ownership

  • Total Players Used: 23
  • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 200%/400%
  • Average Number of Players Used: 19
  • Average High Ownership: 60
  • Players Used Over 20% Ownership- 17
  • Players Used Below 5%- 3
  • Lineups with 6/6-26. Wow, the most on the panel.

Mazwa- Ha…Ya’ll ready for this. We’ve got another brother story brewing here. Remember ChiptoleAddict and Pappagates? Well Mazwa, winner of last year’s Masters Millionaire Maker, is brothers to RaggingPhillp… And he’s the guy that I mentioned in the opening of the segment. Oh and by the way, Mazwa also played 150 lineups. So, I’m going to do them both and we can compare the player pools.

Weekly Results: The first of two brothers.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries:
      • Best Finish: 102nd
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 146th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 1
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1060- 6th
    • 5300- DNP  
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Scott-94%
    • Dufner-80%
    • Grillo- 60%
    • Kisner-57%
    • Howell-53%
    • Palmer-50%
    • Steele-42%
    • Vegas/Kaymer-28%
    • Huh*-23%

Players Used & Ownership

  • Total Players Used: 23

Ragingphillip:

 Weekly Results: What we’ve all been waiting to see.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries:
      • Best Finish: 5th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 6th 7th 9th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 1
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1060-DNP
    • 5300- DNP
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Kaymer-98%
    • Dufner-80%
    • Woodland-66%
    • Garcia-57%
    • Vegas-47%
    • Bradley*-44%
    • Kisner/Fowler-33%
    • Horschel-31%
    • Grillo-25%
    • Grace**-22%

Players Used & Ownership

  • Total Players Used: 24
  • So, here’s what I see… I’m gonna come out and say it, there’s no way these guys aren’t playing together. One went all in on Scott, the other barely played him. That’s all I need to see. But furthermore, they have about 60% of the same pool, and where they differ, is exact price corollaries. So, for example one went Koepka the other went O’Hair. One went Leishman the other went Palmer. Basically, what they did was, cover about 35 total guys, and get 300 lineups out of them. Must be nice.

OrientalExpress- After a W last week let’s see if there was anything left in the till.

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 1
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 1
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

 

Weekly Results:

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: none in the top 100
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 54th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 12
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1060-4th
    • 5300-DNP
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Cab-bello-43%
    • Garcia-38%
    • Hatton-28%
    • Dufner-25%
    • Fowler/Kinser-24%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 47
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 230%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 47
    • Average High Ownership: 38
    • Golfers above 20%- 8
    • Golfers below 5%-25
    • Lineups with 6/6- 24

Jrozzinri– Well it was really a tale of two cities for me this week. My dogleg contest, my clubpro/house lineups were absolutely horrific, but the Birdie and 3 entry max tournaments yielded some great results. However, when you miss the big ones you need a W in the small ones to make up for it. I did not get a W this week.

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:1
  • Top 10’s 300: 1
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 0
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 3
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 1

Weekly Results:  Not dreadful, but not that good either.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 1087th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 435th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:5
      • Best Finish: 0/5
    • 1060- 36th
    • 1060-12th
    • 5300- DNP
  • Core Golfers Used: $33 contests ready for these results… I missed my top 3 guys. Wow.
    • Berger*-45%
    • Thomas*-36%
    • Knox*-31%
    • Ollie-28%
    • Mcdowell-26%
    • Cab-bello-23%
    • Pieters*-22%
    • Kisner-21%
    • Fowler-20%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used this Week: 71- IDK why I did that.
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total:150%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 55
    • Average High Ownership: 45%
    • Players Above 20%- 9
    • Players Below 5%- 35*
    • Lineups with 6/6- 4- The worst of anyone on here. Wow. Back to back weeks. Brutal.

Scout326-

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:2
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 0
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 3

Weekly Results: Pretty good week for this user. The core 4 was really solid this week.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 60th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 15th, 20th, 23rd
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:10
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1060- 36th
    • 5300- N/A
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33 $ contests
    • Horschel-51%
    • Steele/Howell-36%
    • Woodland-32%
    • Thomas*-28%
    • Kaymer/Casey/Glover-25%
    • Garcia/Berger*/Knox*-20%
  • Players Used & Ownership-
    • Total Players Used this Week: 50**
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total:155%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 50
    • Average High Ownership: 48%
    • Players Used Above 20%- 11
    • Players Used Below 5%- 17
    • Lineups with 6/6- 16

DK-Contest Stats & Trends: In this section, I’m going to provide some quick stats and trends and sometimes a few peculiar facts.

  • 185 users max entered the 3$, 31 users maxed out the $33, 13 maxed out the $333
  • Roughly 10% of the lineups made it through with all 6/6 golfers.
  • Average Winner Salary- $10,600
  • # of wins by golfers inside the top 10 OWGR- 5/7 tournaments (Rahm and Swafford not)

WGC-Mexico Championship Stats & Trends:

Yardage: 7300

Par: 71

Cut: NO CUT EVENT   

Stats: 

  • Strokes Gained Approach to the Green – Keeping this one on here.
    • Spieth/Pieters/Cab-Bello/Kisner/Steele
  • Birdie or Better
    • PGA- JT/Spieth/Matsuyama/Rose/Mickelson Euro- Stone/Pablo L/Lipsky/ Wiesberger/ Westwood
  • Strokes Gained Putting-
    • ZJ/Fowler/Pieters/Reed/Haas
  • Tee 2 Green-
    • DJ/Rahm/Garcia/Kisner/Rose
  • Shot Dispersion- 100-125- Looks like there could be a bunch of app shots taken from this distance.
    • Scott/Pieters/Molinari/O’Hair/Snedeker
  • Good Drive %- Gotta keep the ball in play here, not necessarily accurate or far, just in play.
    • McGirt/ Castro/ Scott/ DJ/ Spieth 

Trends:

  • Average Winning Score Since 2010: -9
  • Stats from Last Year’s Winner- Strokes Gained Approach to Green 

Player Focus:   

  • Percentage of Picks that Made the Cut – 70%
  • Number of Winners Picked – 3
  • Number of Top 10’s Picked 7 Events – 16
  • Average Salary of Winner: $11,200

***Note- the following players may be on there for a few reasons. Recent form/course history/ownership projections are all considered. Because this is a Monday column, things can change over 3 days, which may, or may not affect my personal ownership percentages. For a more in depth look at the players I like this week please click here. You will need a premium subscription to view the content.

Players: Top 5 Guys and a Pick to Click this Week

Last Week’s Result: T14, T14, T52, MC, MC, MC

  • Rickie Fowler ($9,900)- Coming off a W where his game looked incredibly sharp, and gets to come to a no cut event? I like what I’m seeing here from his game, and at 9,900 I expect a shot at a top 5 come Sunday.
  • Tyrell Hatton ($8,300)- Well he and his Oscar winning performances after missed putts head to Mexico where I think the course absolutely suits him. He’s playing great golf and at 8,300 where you see Woodland, Garcia, JT, and Rahm near, may get overlooked. I think he makes a run at another top 5 this week.
  • Alex Noren- ($7,200) 11th ranked golfer in the world, and he’s 7,200. This is by far and away the biggest difference between Vegas-DK- and the OWGR. His last two starts were 21st and 13th, so the RF is there, he’s got great comps for courses that are said to be similar to the Club De Golf Chapultepec. I love this value, and think he can easily find himself in the top 10 this weekend.
  • Bernd Wiesberger- ($7,100) Another Berger on the list this week, this time it’s a guy from the Euro Tour though. Ranked 36th in the OWGR and playing great golf with 4/4 cuts made in his last 4, and two top 5’s. He’s found mild success on the comp courses, but in a no cut event you can expect this man to make a ton of birdies.
  • Pablo Larrazabal- ($6,500) Well, this guy comes in ranked in the top 10 on the Euro Tour in BOB %. A min price and decent recent form making 3/4 cuts with a second-place finish in Dubai, I like what you’re getting here at 6500.

 Pick to Click: 5 Guys above 10k this Week.

  • Well I steered you wrong last week as JT couldn’t get it together to get himself to the weekend. This week is the first time this year we get to see Rory play with Spieth and DJ. Matsuyama and Stenson round out the other 2 guys in this price category. The only one I’m nervous about playing is Rory, first tourney back, but you know he’s going to make a ton of birdies. If I had to pick one it’s Henrik Stenson ($10,300) because he can win, and isn’t terribly expensive.

Fades:

Last Week’s Results: Both had pretty decent weeks last week. I’ll try to do better this week.   

  • Dufner-8100 way too much when Noren’s 7200
  • Molinari-8200 same reason as above.

Names to know, or I had to look up-

  • Roberto Diaz ($6,500)- Playing his way via the highest ranked Mexican golfer in the world, Diaz has been tearing up the Web.Com tour this year posting a 4/4 record with 3 top 20’s. In a no cut event for the min price playing for the pride of his country, I like the narrative here.

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Tweet me and follow me @DFSgolfer23. Good Luck!

 

Fantasy Golf Insider Staff
By Fantasy Golf Insider Staff February 28, 2017 00:58

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