The First Tee – Hero World Challenge
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This week it gets even better, with the return of Tiger. The most anticipated, scrutinized, analyzed, watched non-official PGA tour event of the year takes place this week in the sunny Bahamas.
Weekly Roundup – The RSM
A 5-way playoff. Wow. First time we’ve seen that in a while as it was filled with relatively no names, and Billy Horschel. Horschel bogeyed the first playoff hole to fall out of it, and the Canadian rookie Mackenzie Hughes, 6.7K, came out victorious. Other salaries of the 5 playoff contenders were 7K, 5.8K, 5.7K and Horschel at 8.6K.
My Fantasy Week Recap: Kevin Chappell bogeying his 36th hole to miss the cut by 1 absolutely crushed my weekend. After two pretty good weeks in a row, I couldn’t get the ‘turkey’.
The Winning Strategy: The average salary of the 5 playoff contenders came in at 6760, and only 2/5 guys above 10k made the cut. Therefore, it was a really tough week for those who overweighed the highest salary guys.
Right & Wrong
- Where I went Right- Jim Furyk
- Where I Went Wrong- Chappell
Player Ownership Analysis
Well a week has passed since the finish of the RSM. Therefore, there is a week break for the pros on the golf contest side, and another scheduled month break after the Hero Challenge. Let’s see if any of our pros were able to meander around some chalk play MCs.
SaahilSud –After a great week at the OHL, this week will be one to forget about. When your top 2 guys miss the cut at 81% and 73% ownership, yea that’s a recipe for 0$ return of investment.
- Results:
- $4- 150 Entries entered: Best Finish-None in the top thousand
- $33- 100 Entries Entered: Best Finish- None in the top 500
- $300-4 Entries Entered: Best Finish-0 in the top 25.
- Players Used-
- $3- 22 Players Used
- $33-18 Players Used
- $300- 10 Players used
- Player Own %- $33 used for example.
- Kuchar*-86%
- Jones*- 77%
- Simpson-65%
- Kokrak/McGirt/Campbell-54%
- Castro-41%
- Streb-40%
- English-39%
- English*-37%
Jetblackx –A rather interesting final 5 didn’t stop our resident from a few top 10 finishes. Albeit with 5 golfers making the cut on both of them!
- Results:
- $4-150 Entries-63rd
- $33- 90 Entries-4th 8th
- $300-3 Entries: 12th
- Players Used-
- $3-35 players used
- $33- 35 players used
- $300-13 Players used
- Player Ownership%-
- Haas-65.3%
- Kirk*-51.3%
- Chappell*-40%
- Castro-39%
- Bryan*-37%
- English*-35%
- Howell III-29%
- Jones*-27%
- Cink-25%
- Tsung Pan-23%
- Horschel-22%
JAE686- A resident user, and new friend to The First Tee, had a decent week like that of his last contest at the OHL. But, managed to crack the top 100 in both GPPs.
- Results:
- $3-150 Entries Entered: Best Finish-70th, 103rd
- $33- 90 Entries Entered: Best Finishes- 45th
- $300- 3 Entries Entered: 0 in the top 25.
- Players Used:
- $4- 66 players used
- $33- 56 Players used
- $300- 15 Players used
- Player Own %- 33
- Kuchar*-43%
- Furyk-41.1%
- Johnson-28%
- Haas-27%
- Snedeker/Kisner*/Mcgirt-24%
- Castro/Kizzire*-22%
Mazwa- Bad week at OHL, like really bad, meant he could only go up from there, right?
- Results:
- $3- 148 Entries Entered: Best Finish- 47th
- $33- 123 Entries Entered: Best Finishes- 19th, 42, 60th X2, 84th
- $300- 3 Entries Entered: 0 in the top 25
- Players Used:
- $3- 31 players used
- $33- 31 players used
- 300- 12 players used
- Player Ownership%
- Furyk-80%
- Kisner*-61%
- Donald-59%
- Swafford/Singh*-54%
- ZJ*-47%
- Horschel-46%
- Haas-35%
- English*-28%
- Glover-21%
FlavorFlav- Well a few bad weeks in a row meant the week off for this user. I’m sure he’ll be back soon.
1350978425-Another one of our resident users was able to crack the code of a weird final five getting in a top 5 in one of the GPPs.
- Results:
- $3- 150 Entries Entered: Best Finished- 5th
- $33- 10 Entries Entered: Best Finishes- 22nd
- $300- 3 Entries Entered: 23rd
- Players Used:
- $3- 28 players used
- $33- 15 Players used
- $300- 10 Players used
- Player Own %- 33*
- Kuchar*-60%
- Horschel-55%
- Kisner*-45.3%
- Swafford-45%
- Campbell/Bryan*-40%
- Cink/Stanley-35.3%
- Chappell*-28%
- ZJ*-22%
- Howell/Furyk/Glover-20%
Hero World Golf Showcase: This event hosted by the one and only Tiger features 18 golfers with 2 of the top players in the world, DJ and Jordan. With 18 players, you have to nail an almost perfect lineup to get a W, or even a top 10 in this week’s GPP. In an 18-player event, and his first tournament in over 13 months, how high will Tiger’s ownership be? My early guess was 13% because honestly, what can we really expect from him? My over/under is 13th place. Funny 13 is running wild for me this week.
Stats: Good showing for the stats I chose last week. It identified Norlander, Fuyrk, Byrd, List. Small field so I expect a lot of repeats here. Going to pick my top 3.
- Strokes Gained off the Tee – DJ, Watson, Rose, Holmes, Stenson
- Strokes Gained Approach to the Green – Stenson, Matsuyama, Walker, DJ
- Birdie or Better – DJ, Stenson, Spieth, Koepka, Matsuyama
Player Focus: Hero World Golf Challenge
On the Rise: Well a pretty good showing as I got 7 ½ – 9 through the cut. My finishes were: 13th, 27th , mdf, 57th, 27th, 10th, 33rd . Limited to a field of 18 golfers this week I’m going to give you my top 6… It may be equal or less than 50K as well. Hint hint.
- Jordan Spieth- $10,300 Fresh off a new iron change and a W down undah, Jordan heads to the Bahamas where he has found good success in his two showings here. I think at $10,300 you can get some good value here with a finish in the top 5.
- Henrik Stenson- $9,400 “The Machine” returns to action after a week off last week. He has three top tens in his last three starts and has a second place finish here two years ago. How can you bet against this guy?
- Patrick Reed- $8.600 Here’s a guy I think will go ‘lower owned’ comparative to guys around him because of his weak play lately. (60th and 51st in his last two starts) However, he’s placed well both times here in the Bahamas so I expect that to continue.
- Rickie Fowler- $7,900 Returning to the form reminiscent of what we saw two seasons ago, Fowler’s game is headed in the right direction. Two good showings both times here in the Bahamas and at $7900 I like a top 5 in his future.
- Emiliano Grillo- $6,800 Coming off three straight top 25s, and 10th in his last event, Grillo a now second year vet on tour will look to head into the holiday break and the TOC in Hawaii with another good showing here in the Bahamas.
- Tiger Woods- $6,600 Comon’ really? How can I not put him here? He’s one of the biggest reasons we have what we have with DFS golf. I got him beating AT LEAST Snedeker, ZJ, Kuchar, Oost, and Jimmy Walker putting him at worst 13th.
Pick to Click: Chappell totally screwed me. As you can see, I’m going Spieth over DJ.
Top 5 Picked- 3 /6
Heading South – Fades
Nailed ZJ last week as he missed the cut. Let’s see if I can pick the DFL this week.
Matt Kuchar- $7,000 A missed cut at his home in Sea Island Georgia, and two rather weak finishes here in the past, I don’t think Kuchar’s game is as good as the rest of the fields right now. He’ll be good for some birdies though if you do want to roster him.
The Pro Review: It’ll be interesting to see how the pros tackle the small field, but, I suspect we should see about an average of 12-15 golfers with an average high ownership of 85%.
% of field covered*(note because a lot of tournaments having several different field sizes I decided to change this to % of field covered. – 33%
Top Golfer % Owned- 63%
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