The First Tee by Jason Rouslin

Fantasy Golf Insider Staff
By Fantasy Golf Insider Staff March 6, 2017 23:19

Yes!! It’s finally the week I’ve been waiting for. I’ll be ON SITE all week as of the time writing, this I’ve already been here for a few days. I will walk the entire course (tomorrow-Tuesday) try and catch up with Bowdo for a few practice holes, and Stenson to make sure he’s ok. If any of you readers here things, want to know things, or want me to check in on a golfer, let me know I’ll be glad to. What a Sunday final group we had, JT DJ and Rory, WOW. It was great to watch and lets see how the results of that impacted our draftking pros.

DraftKing Pro Results:  The tout’s and pros were out to play this weekend as members or former members of this list were at the top of 3 Gpp’s this weekend. Let’s see how they were able to accomplish these great results. 

JAE686-

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 1
  • Top 10’s 300: 2
  • Top 5’s 1060: 1
  • Top 3’s 5300: 3
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 2
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0 

Weekly Results: Stenson was his top owned guy at just over 51%, so that really hindered the results. However a mixture of Rahm/Mickelson/Rory helped him cash in the higher dollar buy-ins.

Contest Results:

  • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
    • Best Finish:2095th
  • 33 Entries:150
    • Best 762nd
  • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 41
    • Best Finish: none in the top 25
  • 1500-8th good enough to cash* 3 straight weeks.
  • 5300- 3rd – Cashed for the second straight week.
  • Golfers Used: 3/33
    • Stenson**-51%
    • Rahm-43%
    • Cab-Bell-35%
    • Kaymer-33%
    • Mickelson/Haas-30%
    • Kuchar-28%
    • Rory/Casey/Perez/Garcia/Matsuyama/Scott-24%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 39
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 155%/400
    • Average Number of Players Used: 44
    • Average High Ownership: 48
    • Players Above 20% Ownership- 14
    • Players Below 5% Ownership- 9
    • Lineups w/ 6/6- NA 

SaahilSud

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:1
  • Top 10’s 300: 2
  • Top 5’s 1060/Top 3’s 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 2
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 2
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results:  After back to back bad weeks Saahil bounced back notching a top 20 in the Dogleg. Still it’s not the results he was looking for.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 108
    • 33 Entries:150
      • Best 20th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 41
      • Best Finish: 19
    • 1500- 12th on the right side of the bubble
    • 5300-6th
  • Core Golfers Used: 3/33 contests
    • Rory-99.3%
    • Scott-71%
    • Fleetwood-69%
    • JT-50%
    • Casey-49%
    • Bubba/Holmes-42%
    • Oosthazen-39%
    • Kuchar-24%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used this Week: 29
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 280%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 30
    • Average High Ownership: 90%
    • Players above 20%- 9
    • Players below 5%- 10
    • Lineups with 6/6- NA

Jetblackx

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 1
  • Top 10’s $300: 2
  • Top 5’s 1060/Top 3’s 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 4
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 2
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 2

Weekly Results: Only 42 lineups in both the birdie and dogleg… I sense it’s because of the no cut, or maybe its bankroll as he did max the $400 PP.  I’m really not sure.  But a second place in the Thunderdome made other results in other contests a little easier to swallow.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 42
      • Best Finish: 1946th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 244th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 25
      • Best Finish: none in the top 25
    • 1500-24th
    • 5300-2nd
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Garcia-72%
    • Spieth-65%
    • Mickelson-39%
    • Willett-36%
    • Walker/Rory/Pieters/Thomas/Haas-27%
    • Kaymer/Scott/Cab-bell0-24%
    • Stenson***-22%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 37
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 180%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 44
    • Average High Ownership: 50
    • Players Used Over 20% Ownership-13
    • Players Used Under 5% Ownership- 11
    • Lineups with 6/6= NA

FlavorFlav-  

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 3
  • Top 10’s 300: 6
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 4
  • Top 10’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 1

Weekly Results:  Another Win on the card as the retired rapper is starting to assert himself as one of, if not the best. Ready for this, HE DID WITHOUT ROSTERING DJ IN HIS WINNING LINEUP. WOW!!!

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 5th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 1st, 4th, 10th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 25
      • Best Finish: 3rd , 8th, 10th
    • 1500-3rd      
    • 5300- 9th
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • JT-70%
    • Rahm-60%
    • Rory-50%
    • Pieters-37%
    • Hun-An-33%
    • Fowler/Holmes-32%
    • Haas/Snedeker/Westwood-28%
    • Schwarztel-27%
    • Garcia-21%
    • Stenson**-6%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 29
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 200%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 44
    • Average High Ownership: 50
    • Players Used Over 20% Ownership-12
    • Players Used Under 5% Ownership- 4
    • Lineups with 6/6= NA

CSURAM88-

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 2
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 1
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results: Pretty bad week…One week bad one good.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 22
      • Best Finish: 2038
    • 33 Entries: 22
      • Best Finish: 321
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 22
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1500- none in the top 25
    • 5300- 15th     
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Pieters-55%
    • Woodland-45%
    • Matsuyama/Scott-37%
    • Garcia/Kaymer-32%
    • Oosthuizen-28%

Players Used & Ownership

  • Total Players Used: 30
  • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 200%/400%
  • Average Number of Players Used: 25
  • Average High Ownership: 60
  • Players Used Over 20% Ownership- 13
  • Players Used Below 5%- 3
  • Lineups with 6/6-26.

Mazwa: INTERESTING NOTE HERE. NEITHER BROTHER PARTICAPTED THIS WEEK…HMMMMM WONDER WHY??

Weekly Results: The first of two brothers.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries:
      • Best Finish:
    • 33 Entries:
      • Best Finish:
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:
      • Best Finish:
    • 1060-
    • 5300-  
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33

Players Used & Ownership

  • Total Players Used: 23

Ragingphillip: Yea he didn’t either…This is getting more and more fishy to me.

 Weekly Results: What we’ve all been waiting to see.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries:
      • Best Finish:
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish:
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:
      • Best Finish:
    • 1500-DNP
    • 5300- DNP
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33

Players Used & Ownership

  • Total Players Used:
  • Leaving this next paragraph for all to read for a little bit from my analysis of the Honda Classic the week prior. Maybe someone new reads it this week.

So, here’s what I see… I’m gonna come out and say it, there’s no way these guys aren’t playing together. One went all in on Scott, the other barely played him. That’s all I need to see. But furthermore, they have about 60% of the same pool, and where they differ, is exact price corollaries. So, for example one went Koepka the other went O’Hair. One went Leishman the other went Palmer. Basically, what they did was, cover about 35 total guys, and get 300 lineups out of them. Must be nice.

OrientalExpress-

Yearly Results:

  • Wins: 1
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 1
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results: Not a great week for this player.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 6980
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 825th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries: 12
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1500-10th good enough to cash
    • 5300-DNP
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33
    • Garcia-60%
    • Casey-42%
    • Matsyama-30%
    • Spieth-29%
    • Rahm-26%
    • Willet/Cab-bell/Steele/Stenson**/Grillo-20%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used: 38
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total: 180%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 47
    • Average High Ownership: 48
    • Golfers above 20%- 10
    • Golfers below 5%-25
    • Lineups with 6/6- NA

Jrozzinri– Again a tale of two contests. My mixture in the Dogleg this week was the winning bunch as it yielded much higher results.  It would have been an a dreadful weekend had a friend @crclngthdrn not punched a ticket to the TD for masters week. I’m sure it’ll make for an already great weekend.

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:1
  • Top 10’s 300: 1
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 0
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 3
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 1

Weekly Results:  Not dreadful, but not that good either.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 2450th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 98th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:5
      • Best Finish: Min Cash 1/8… Awful.
    • 1500- 16th
    • 5300- DNP
  • Core Golfers Used:
    • DJ -40%
    • Noren-35%
    • Spieth-32%
    • Mcilroy-26%
    • Pieters-23.3%
    • Stenson**22%
    • Molinari/zj/cabbello/kaymer/rahm-20%
  • Players Used & Ownership
    • Total Players Used this Week: 58
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total:150%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 55
    • Average High Ownership: 45%
    • Players Above 20%- 10
    • Players Below 5%- 24
    • Lineups with 6/6

Scout326-

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:2
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 0
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 3

Weekly Results: Not a great week for this two-time winner. He’ll look to back bounce back @ Valspar.

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 1010th
    • 33 Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 134th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:14
      • Best Finish: None in the top 25
    • 1500- 36th
    • 5300- N/A
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33 $ contests
    • Matsuyama-44%
    • Oosthuizen-35%
    • Mcilroy-33%
    • Sccot-31%
    • Pieters-29%
    • Kaymer/Hatton/Wiesberger-25%
    • JT/Stenson***-22%
  • Players Used & Ownership-
    • Total Players Used this Week: 53
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total:155%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 50
    • Average High Ownership: 48%
    • Players Used Above 20%- 10
    • Players Used Below 5%- 14
    • Lineups with 6/6- NA

SamENole- Well, Matt took the big prize of the week and added another win in the 1500. His play has been a bit sporadic this year, but I’m sure we’ll be seeing much more of him in the very near future.

Yearly Results:

  • Wins:2
  • Top 10’s 300: 0
  • Top 5’s 1060/ 5300 (High $$$ GPPs): 0
  • Top 20’s (Low $ GPPs): 1
  • Top 5’s (Low $ GPPs): 0

Weekly Results: 2 Wins

  • Contest Results:
    • 3/4 Dollar Entries: 150
      • Best Finish: 54th
    • 33 Entries: 40
      • Best Finish: 14th
    • 300, 333 or 400 Entries:10
      • Best Finish: 1st
    • 1500- 1st
    • 5300- N/A
  • Core Golfers Used: 3 & 33 $ contests
    • Matsuyama-44%
    • Oosthuizen-35%
    • Rory-33%
    • Scott-31%
    • Pieters-29%
    • Kaymer/Hatton/Wiesberger-25%
    • JT/Stenson***-23%
  • Players Used & Ownership-
    • Total Players Used this Week: 52
    • Average Core 4 Ownership Total:155%/400%
    • Average Number of Players Used: 50
    • Average High Ownership: 48%
    • Players Used Above 20%- 11
    • Players Used Below 5%- 17
    • Lineups with 6/6- NA

DK-Contest Stats & Trends: In this section, I’m going to provide some quick stats and trends and sometimes a few peculiar facts.  

  • 205 users max entered the 3$, 18 users maxed out the $33, 8 maxed out the $400
  • Average Winner Salary- $11,400
  • # of wins by golfers inside the top 10 OWGR- 6/8 tournaments (Rahm and Swafford not)

Valspar Championship:

Yardage: 7300 (Literally the same as last week)

Par: 71

Cut: 36 Hole Cut

Last week’s results: Results featured- Kisner/Pieters/Spieth/Rahm/DJ/Garcia/Snedeker Pretty darn good!

Stats:

  • Strokes Gained Around the Green – Keeping this one on here.
    • BOWDO/Wilkinson/Collins/Haas/Tringale
  • Birdie or Better
    • PGA- JT/Knox/List/Piercy/Kirk
  • Strokes Gained Approach the Green
    • Webb/Stanley/An/JT/Woodland
  • Tee 2 Green-
    • JT/Stanley/Glover/Woodland/List
  • Shot Dispersion- 125-150- Looks like there could be a bunch of app shots taken from this distance.
    • Kheldsen/Els/Wagner/Hun-An/Woodland
  • Good Drive %- Gotta keep the ball in play here, not necessarily accurate or far, just in play.
    • Stuard/Herman/Glover/Saunders/Horschel

Trends:

  • Average Winning Score Since 2010- -9
  • Average Cut Score: +2
  • Stats from Last Year’s Winner- Strokes Gained Around the green

Player Focus:  

  • Percentage of Picks that Made the Cut – 70%
  • Number of Winners Picked – 3
  • Number of Top 10’s Picked 7 Events – 17
  • Average Salary of Winner: $11,200

***Note- the following players may be on there for a few reasons. Recent form/course history/ownership projections are all considered. Because this is a Monday column, things can change over 3 days, which may, or may not affect my personal ownership percentages. For a more in depth look at the players I like this week please click here. You will need a premium subscription to view the content.

Players: Top 5 Guys and a Pick to Click this Week

Last Week’s Result: Looks like I picked the wrong Euro guys as Noren should have been Fleetwood and Pablo should have been Sullivan. But as such goes DFS. We’ll get back on board this week. Last weeks Results:  10th 16th 45 55 72

  • Bill Haas ($9,200) Haas has had a very solid start to the season, and if it weren’t for his abysmal round on Saturday, would have been in contention in Mexico over the weekend. Bill comes back to ‘Palm Harbor’ where he should have won last year, before handing it to Charl. He’s also got 2 other top 20’s to go along with 2MCs at the Snake pit. I expect Haas to be on the first page of the leaderboard come Sunday.
  • Charl Scwartzel ($8,800) Well if I am picking Bill, how can I not pick Charl? He seemed to find his game, except for his terrible Sunday, this past week in Mexico. Playing as the defending champ with very very similar conditions forcasted, I like Charl’s chances to repeat and so does vegas.
  • Charley Hoffman ($7,400) Charley seems to have found his form that propelled him to a multitude of good finishes including a win in 2016. With good course history, 6/7 with 4 top 25s, coming off his best finish of the year 4th @ the Genesis, I like his odds to get his second top 10 in consecutive starts.
  • Lee McCoy($7,300) Narrative play all the way here. Playing on a sponsor’s exemption, McCoy finished 4th here last year as an amateur. What’s worse, is he turned pro a couple months later and has not found any sustained success yet. Let’s see if the SE to play at his home course proves to be jump start that Lee needs for his career.
  • Adam Hadwin ($6,800) After 2 weeks off, this year’s version of Chuckie sticks, Adam returns the course making 5/5 cuts. He hasn’t found success here in the past, but his Off the Tee and “around the green” game has been very good this year, so I like his chances to better his record @ the Valspar Championship this week.

 Pick to Click: 5 Guys above 10k this Week.

  • I’m going BACK to the Stenson ($11,700) As long as I don’t hear or see anything on his “illness” I, not only want him there on Sunday, but expect him to be there as well.

Fades:

Last Week’s Results: Both fades worked well last week. I’ll try and make it 2/2.

  • I was really hoping to see Bubba at 7300 this week, but instead he’s 8300 so I have to pass.
  • Sean O’Hair has the craziest CH including a WD last year, second place the year before, and a bunch of MCs. I’m staying away at 8200.

Names to know, or I had to look up-

  • Patrick Cantlay ($7,000) He’s back. Remember the name. I first brought him up at the Pebble Tournament, and he played very well for his first tournament in a couple of years. I like him to take that experience and parlay it into an even better week this week at Copperhead.

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Tweet me and follow me @DFSgolfer23. Good Luck!

Fantasy Golf Insider Staff
By Fantasy Golf Insider Staff March 6, 2017 23:19

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