The Daily Spin – NFL Cash Game Focus – Week 5

One quarter of the season is in the books and the last couple of weeks have been tremendous for us. I am not sure how all of you fared last weekend in your cash games, but mine ended up crushing the competition in recording over 220 points to roll to an easy win. The build followed the exact pattern that I laid out by going for the extreme value that was available at wide receiver which then allowed us to pay up at running back to lock in three studs. The quarterback pricing continues to baffle me this season as it is never an issue to work just about any player into a lineup and the extreme value that has been offered every week this season really has not forced our hand at the position in any meaningful manner. I finally broke through at the tight end and defense position after some frustration in previous weeks. The Bears were essentially a freebie so I was surprised that ownership was ‘only’ around 45% for most of the contests I played in for the week. It looked like I was going to get ‘Ebroned’ again at tight end as the big, athletic pass catcher had all of one grab for nine yards entering the 4th quarter, but a late TD pushed him up into double digits. While we were fortunate to get the late score, we know he is a favorite target in the red zone for Andrew Luck this season so it was precisely the type of opportunity we knew he would have at some point in the game.

My only real disappointment last week was that I played all cash games for the week and did not mix it up with GPP action. I think just about had the nuts in terms of my player pool. The only major name that I think I missed on a positional basis was Jared Cook for the Raiders, who went crazy late in the game and into overtime against the Browns. The rest of it worked out really well and even lowly Taylor Gabriel, a late add for me once Anthony Miller went on the IR for the Bears, had a monster game.

It did prove to be another strange week in terms of the pay lines for different contests last week. Cash games again pushed the 200 point barrier while the Millionaire Maker was again only around 180 points. It frustrated me as just entering my cash lineup in the MM would have netted me a 4x return rather than the double up that I ended up with at the end of the day. I know a lot of people have been asking about this and wondering if they should abandon cash games altogether. I would hold off on making that decision right now. Yes, the pay lines are higher this year, but there are a few reasons that you need to consider before you go into a total panic. First, scoring in the NFL is up considerably this season. Through the first four weeks of the year, scoring is up 4.2 points on average per game. There have been more 400 yard passing performances in the first four weeks than there were in all of 2017. Four QBs are on pace to break the single season passing record set by Drew Brees back in 2013. Pat ‘Stop Calling Him Showtime’ Mahomes is on pace to set the single season record for TDs and three QBs are on pace to break the single season record for completion percentage. These are just a few of the astronomical numbers that offenses are putting up this season with the new, beefed up rules that are designed to protect QBs and thus, produce more scoring. But this is just one part of the equation on the higher DFS scores in cash games this year.

The other area that we have to look at is the pricing for the big slates this season. Week 1 contained some obvious cheap chalk that made most rosters. When that cheap RB who will get the ball 25 times in the first week is only priced at $4600, it opens up a lot of options for the rest of your roster which naturally leads to big point totals. For cash games, if there are two or three of these players that hit big and then the stars do their job, 200 points is suddenly easily in range. This is what happened last week. We talked about the appropriate roster build which was to pay down at wideout which opened up a ton of options up top. Literally all of the cheap went off for monster days. Boyd, Shepard and Ridley all were outstanding and if you leaned down on Gabriel, you really gained leverage at RB where Kamara, Zeke, Gio and Barkley all had big point scoring days.

This is not always going to be the case going forward so do not get too used to seeing these kinds of numbers. As I told Erik ‘Statboy’, last week, it is a rarity where I have my cash game locked and loaded the night before the games and have no changes on Sunday, but last week, I had a good outline for what I wanted to do and just had two small changes as the week wore on. As we see every year, the pricing for NFL is a puzzle every week. Some weeks it is so easy that I have something close to a solution before the final whistle on Sunday night. Other weeks, I am scrambling up to the final Inactives Report on Sunday morning, looking for any bit of late salary cap relief that I can find. As the number of games dwindles and DraftKings tightens things up a bit, the numbers will come down to a degree. Plus, the younger, unknown players take a little time to establish who they are on a consistent basis before the market settles on a price that fairly represents them. This was the time last year when Alvin Kamara could still be had for $4000-4500. We’ve been fortunate to see these mispricings early in the year, but my thought is that it will not be that easy all year.

I promised a quick peak at the teams of the AFC after running through an overview of the NFC two weeks ago. I think it is important to have a narrative in your mind when looking at each team going into a game and understanding how to compare and contrast it against their opponent for the week. Does a certain type of game flow naturally emerge that is easy to follow or are a number of possible outcomes equally likely? Are the teams equally matched or is it one sided? Are there extreme strengths or weaknesses for each team that fit in a complimentary fashion to their opponent’s strengths and weaknesses?

AFC West

Denver Broncos – A team still in search of an identity. Case Keenum has been everything I thought he would be in Denver. He’s the quintessential gunslinger, making something out of nothing at times, but then blowing the throw on a wide open receiver for the game winning TD. They’ve shown some strength in the run game, but it’s a committee approach. Keenum has helped to give Emmanuel Sanders a boost so far this season, but has not really been able to get much going with Demaryious Thomas. This is a team I want to focus on only in matchup specific situations where an opposing team is particularly poor against a slot WR or is poor against run or pass catching backs. This is not a team you can roll out regardless of its opponent.

Oakland Raiders – They are lucky to be 1-3 after the refs gifted them the game against the Browns last Sunday. Derek Carr has been okay this year in terms of putting up a lot of yards, but his 6 TD/7 INT ratio still leave plenty to be desired, particularly since four of those TDs came in one game against the Browns last week at home. However, give that the Raiders rank 26th in the league in defense (DVOA), we should continue to see Carr throwing often. The reemergence of Marshawn Lynch has been a nice surprise for the Raiders and Gruden does not seem like he wants to cap his carries each week so I am cautiously optimistic about the run game. The WR position is still all over the place to start the year as we’ve had boom and bust performances from both Jordy Nelson and Amari Cooper. The Raiders are going to be in some shootouts this year, but the volatile performances of most lead me to using them more in GPP formats.

KC Chiefs – These guys are the perfect DFS team for all formats. The offense is magnificent and the defense is utterly terrible. If you bet the over in every Chiefs game throughout the season, my thought is that you would end the year feeling good about yourself. Patrick Mahomes is the real deal and gets more impressive by the week with his cannon arm and ability to extend plays with his athleticism. He is playable every week in all formats and I do not care who he is up against. I would love to see Kareem Hunt utilized more in the passing game, but at least he is getting close to 20 carries a week this year. There was some concern that Travis Kelce would not have the same role on offense this year after a quiet first week, but he has roared to life since then and become a favorite target for Mahomes. Tyreek Hill looked freakishly good in Week 1, but he’s no incapable of putting up a dud so he is a little more of a GPP play or situational cash play for me.

San Diego Chargers – It is amazing to me that every franchise, no matter what the year, seem to have a very team specific vibe. With the Chargers, the vibe is always that of perpetual underacheiver. They do it every single year. As a Vikings fan, this trait almost makes me love them in a way as they really are their AFC equivalent most years. Philip Rivers still looks as solid as ever leading this team. The only issue with using Rivers is that Melvin Gordon is so good that the Chargers do not have to always rely on winning games through the air so it is not unusual to see the Chargers win 27-13 and Rivers might only end up with 250 yards and 1-2 TDs. That’s not a bad line, but with scoring up, it might not be enough. Keenan Allen is still really the only reliable receiver to use in cash games, but they’ve been so balanced this year that he has not had the chance to light it up yet in a meaningful manner. The perimeter WRs are purely GPP plays at this point as they are big play reliant for most of their points.

AFC South

Jacksonville Jaguars – Same story as a year ago, great defense with an offense that usually will do just enough to get the job done. One week, Bortles looks like he has it all together, the next, he puts up a single digit point dud. Leonard Fournette is starting to embody the spirit of the perpetually injured Fred Taylor so TJ Yeldon should continue to be a cheap, cash play worthy RB. The wideouts are tricky and I would say that in the right situation, each one has upside, but it will not always be easy to track a favorite target. Given the right matchup, this team could get into some high scoring games against a couple of specific teams on the road in similar fashion to its playoff game last year with the Steelers. They just need to find the right dance partner with a great offense and lousy defense (hint hint).

Tennessee Titans – They had a big win against the Eagles in OT last week and got the job done in a FG battle the week prior against the Jags. They are a scrappy bunch that fights hard and can win ugly. They are not an ideal DFS team most of the time as Mariota is serviceable at QB, but rarely elite. The run game is nothing special and the WRs are just starting to get interesting. Keep an eye on Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor.

Indianapolis Colts – They are now 1-4, but it is hardly due to the play of Andrew Luck, who is unable to catch the passes that his receivers are dropping so often this season. Erik Ebron at TE has been great in the red zone this year and as long as Jack Doyle is out, he’s in play. TY Hilton is banged up again, but even when healthy, is not much of a cash option. Nyheim Hines might end up being the most cash game worthy option for the Colts as he’s begun to establish himself as ‘the guy’ out of the backfield both running the ball and catching passes. Luck is a solid cash play at QB and this team is worth targeting in GPP play as right now, you can still pair Luck with another cheap pass catching option.

Houston Texans – Deshaun Watson is playable in all formats and should be the first or second guy you look at for cash games each week. His legs look fresh, he’s throwing the ball well, and his defense looks uninspired to start the year. He needs to be in your lineups every week regardless of their opponent. The RB situation here is terrible and I never want any part of Lamar Miller. Full Stop. At WR, Will Fuller seems to be the DFS darling of the moment, but as has been the case, he’s struggled to stay on the field and is now hurt again. His price is starting to catch up with him and he is no longer under the radar. Stay focused on DeAndre Hopkins, particularly for tournament play when both are healthy. The jump in price is keeping players away from Hopkins unnecessarily and we can take advantage of that. KeKe Coutee is an interesting new piece to the mix. If his hamstring heals up, he could be a great change of pace player for the Texans.

AFC East

NY Jets – These fans had a blast planning their Super Bowl trip and Sam Darnold’s Hall of Fame enshrinement after beating the Lions in Week 1, but went back to being the Jets after that. They have little fantasy relevance right now. Quincy Enunwa has been a decent option for value so far this season at WR, but that is about it. The RB is a pretty even, two headed monster and neither excites me at all so far. To make them even less DFS friendly, the defense has actually been solid this season and ranks 5th through four weeks. I really hate this team in all formats right now.

Miami Dolphins – Every year you know that these guys are going to be shown to be total frauds at some point. Magically, it took until Week 4 this year, but the Pats did it in soul crushing fashion. I hate the split in the backfield between Gore and Drake as it has made both irrelevant. Everyone thought Kenny Stills was magic after catching a late 75 yard TD against the Titans, but alas, he turned out to just be Kenny Stills after all. He’s only averaging about 5 targets a game so it’s tough to see him as anything more than a rare GPP option. Right now, the targets are spread out so much that I just do not want anything to do with this receiver corps.  I saw people actually target Ryan Tannehill last week who forgot that he was Ryan Tannehill. He’s not totally unplayable, but you have to target specific matchups for him and not chase after one or two good outings against bad teams.

Buffalo Bills – They are who we thought they were. The Vikings looked lifeless against them, but good teams have had no problem shutting down this miserable offense. I am unimpressed with Josh Allen so far who trusts his arm far more than he should. Shady McCoy has become irrelevant in this offense that has no credible downfield passing threat. The defense is not as terrible as they looked initially, but even that unit is not great. I don’t want anything to do with this team.

New England Patriots – These guys looked reinvigorated on Thursday night. Once again, I think we are going to see a tale of two seasons for the Pats this year where everyone worries through September, but by January, they are in the AFC title game again. Julian Edelman is back in the lineup and had plenty of targets immediately last night which will continue all season. Josh Gordon caught TB12’s 500th career TD pass and with each week has a bigger role in the offense. The RB tandem strikes a great balance between run and pass as White and Michel have looked great the last two weeks. Gronk is going to continue to Gronk. With the addition of Gordon and the return of Edelman, the field should open up again for Gronk. The Pats are going to be a great team to target for DFS the rest of the year.

AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers – Great offense plus bad defense equals fantasy gold! Losing Ryan Shazier on defense killed this team last year and the defensive unit has not recovered. On offense, it looked like James Conner could fill the void left by the holdout of LeVeon Bell, but he’s struggled in recent weeks which has put the offense on the arm of Ben Roethlisberger to carry the team. The emergence of Juju last year and this season has taken away from Antonio Brown’s ability to put up stupid numbers every week. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still a guy that you have to roll out in GPP almost every week given the upside potential, but for cash, you have to know he is going to get 15 targets at least in order to justify paying $9k given the many talented RBs out there that you know will get 20-25 opportunities a week.

Cincinnati Bengals – These guys have gone from fantasy dog house to dream team in a hurry. Joe Mixon’s injury just accelerated that as Gio Bernard stepped in and took the extra carries to go along with his pass catching ability. Tyler Boyd looks like the real deal this season and has seen 31 targets his last three games. AJ Green is still down and then way up from one week to the next, but typically, you can time his big games given specific matchups on defense. Andy Dalton has been the play here as his price never seems to get to $6k. He’s thrown 11 TD passes and over 1200 yards through 4 games.

Baltimore Ravens – Just a solid, not so fantasy friendly team all around. You can play the defense regularly here as they are a strong unit as shown by the way they shut down the Steelers in Pittsburgh last week. On offense, Joe Flacco has been good this season and if it were not for the fact that the pricing for QBs is so truncated, he’d be a reasonable cash game option many weeks. However, if Matthew Stafford is going to be $5700 at home and Flacco is $5400, well, I’ll take Stafford almost every time. They’ve had an even mix in the backfield between Buck Allen and Alex Collins with neither doing enough to earn any real consideration from week to week for DFS purposes. They spread the ball around a lot between their WRs. The only one who really seems to be gaining traction so far from a DK perspective is John Brown. I don’t trust this unit much for cash games, but in the right scenario, the skill players are cheap enough to make them stackable in a high point total game.

Cleveland Browns – These guys look like a totally different team with the energy of Baker Mayfield at QB. He’s another gunslinger type with no fear of any throw. He’s going to have some success this year, but also some setbacks. I will be very situational with how I use him this year. Unless his price is much lower than other, better value plays, I will not use him often this year. At WR, Jarvis Landry is always worth targeting for cash games. If he continues to draw 10 targets a week, he should not struggle to reach value often like most other seasons. At RB, Carlos Hyde has looked good as the lead back so far, but Nick Chubb has been explosive in limited use. I expect the Browns to get Chubb more touches as the year goes on so be careful with using Hyde too aggressively.

 

PLAYER POOL 

There are still a few injury reports to monitor going into the weekend. The most interesting injury report that I am watching today will be what happens at the Green Bay Packer practice today. They are one of the rare teams that holds practice on Saturday, but it will be very telling to see who they roll out at WR this week. Randall Cobb has already been ruled out with an injury and Geronimo Allison is trending that direction. Davonte Adams has been hurt all week, but they are optimistic that he will play. This leaves a bit of mystery around who will be catching the ball for the Pack this week. Even if Adams plays, Darius Slay will end up shadowing him which is bad news for Adams and the rest of the Packers offense. Something called Marquez Valdez-Scantling may make more than a token appearance this week which would be interesting with a salary of just $3300. We also may see a lot more of Ty Montgomery catching passes this week coming out of the backfield or lining up outside. With limited options, he would be the guy that I would utilize with limited options. It could also really open things up for Jimmy Graham this week as a primary target for Aaron Rodgers. There are a lot of possibilities for this game so pay close attention to the injury report later today as I think there are some opportunities to be had here for cash and GPP contests.

 

QB	DK	FD
Ben Roethlisberger	6900	8400
Matt Ryan	6600	8300
Cam Newton	6400	8400
Pat Mahomes	6200	8600
Carson Wentz	5800	7500
Matthew Stafford	5700	7600
Blake Bortles	5500	7000

 

I think that the Steelers/Falcons matchup is featured here prominently this week as it should be a game where both teams put up a huge number of points which should start with the QBs of each squad. Atlanta’s defense is ranked 27th in the league and has been in a shootout the last three weeks. With four starters from its original starting eleven now on the IR, they are as vulnerable as ever. For the Steelers, without LeVeon Bell, they should still be able to run the ball, but James Conner is not nearly as dangerous on the ground as Bell. I suspect Conner will be able to capitalize on the injuries of the Falcons and catch a lot of passes out of the backfield where the Falcons traditionally struggle. I can’t really chase any Steelers WRs in cash due to price, but for GPP events, I would mix in both Antonio Brown and Juju although I would caution that the Falcons do have a strong starting duo in Robert Alford and Desmond Trufont.

On the Falcons side of the ball, I don’t have any interest in their committee of RBs as I think all three will get carries and even if Devonta is the featured guy, it will not be the ratio we’re looking for this week. Through the air, I think all three WRs for the Falcons are in play. I am not impressed at all with the Pittsburgh secondary outside of Joe Haden who has been good so far, but he will not be shadowing anyone so there are always going to be open players for the Falcons. To keep up with the Steelers, Matt Ryan will need to be just as sharp as he’s been the last three weeks when he’s thrown 10 TDs to one INT and 1065 yards.

It’s hard not to like Cam Newton at home this week against a NY Giants team that ranks 28th in total defense this season. While Cam’s passing yardage has fluctuated this season, his rushing totals are up for the season and he’s already run for 136 yards and 3 TDs.

A lot of people will steer clear of Pat Mahomes this week at $6200 against the Jags, but being at home, I am not too worried about it. We’ve seen the Jags get into high scoring games on the road against good offenses in the past and the Chiefs just have too many weapons to be stopped all day. With a 49 point over/under, and a 26 point team total, listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you here. This is going to be a high scoring game. Enjoy the discount on Mahomes while you can still get it.

Matthew Stafford at $5700 is our gift of the week for value QBs this week. Look, the Packers have a bad secondary. The one real elite QB they played this season, Kirk Cousins, torched them at Lambeau a few weeks back. Otherwise, they’ve seen Mitch Trubisky (who carved them up for much of the game), Alex ‘game manager’ Smith and Josh Allen, who is terrible. The Lions are still a pass first team and this is going to be a high scoring affair. I will be shocked if Stafford does not throw for 300/3 this week.

 

RB	DK	FD
Todd Gurley	9400	9100
Melvin Gordon	8600	8700
Christian McCaffrey	8000	8100
James Conner	7500	7800
David Johnson	6300	7600
TJ Yeldon	5600	6500
Aaron Jones	4300	6100
Corey Grant	3700	5100

Todd Gurley is the man in LA and he is going to remain the man in LA. He does everything for that team and Seattle just is not who they used to be on defense anymore.  The loss of Earl Thomas is the final death blow for the Legion of Boom so Gurley should run all over them. The only problem here is his price which makes him difficult to roster for cash games.

Melvin Gordon is the guy that I definitely want to pay up for this week. He is getting over 20 opportunities a week between rushing attempts and targets and he gets a Raiders team this week ranked 26th in total defense and 22nd against pass catching RBs. There should be a good amount of scoring taking place in this game and so far, Gordon has five TDs on the season. The 8.5 targets per game out of the backfield give him a great floor to work from this week.

Christian McCaffrey had a breakout game on the ground in Week 3, piling up 184 rushing yards on 28 carries. This week, he’s at home against the Giants who rank 29th in the league against the run and who gave up a whopping 44 DK points to Alvin Kamara last week at home. CMC’s game compares favorably to Kamara’s so I expect him to have another 25 opportunities between carries and targets this week.

TJ Yeldon is back as the featured back for the Jags this week with Leonard Fournette out and he is in a great spot to have a big day. The Chiefs rank 31st in the league in total defense, 32nd against the run and 32nd against pass catching RBs. I expect both Yeldon and Corey Grant to have a role this week, but this really should be a spot for Yeldon to shine in a high scoring game. He’s a guy that you probably have to play given his expected usage, price and matchup.

Aaron Jones should be playing a bigger role for the Packers this week as he is gradually worked back into the offense. What should a team plan to do if most of their pass catching threats are injured for the week? Now, Mike McCarthy might not be the brightest coach, but running the ball more against one of the worst run defenses in the league might make sense, especially since Detroit is without its best run stuffer in Ziggy Ansah. Jones has been great in limited action so far, averaging 7 yards per carry in two games. He’s just $4,300 this week and the Lions rank 27th against the run. If he does not get 15 touches this week, something is wrong with the game plan.

 

WR	DK	FD
Julio Jones	8500	8800
Keenan Allen	7800	8100
Brandin Cooks	7400	7800
Stefon Diggs	7000	8200
Golden Tate	6700	7400
Calvin Ridley	5800	6800
Sterling Shepard	5600	6200
Nelson Agholor	5300	6100
Doug Baldwin	5000	6700
Dede Westbrook	4700	5900
Taywan Taylor	4000	5000
Mohamed Sanu	4000	5600

 

Julio Jones broke out last week against the Bengals and should be able to keep that going against the Steelers this week. He’s slated to be covered by Coty Sensabaugh on the majority of his routes this week which, if that’s the case, he should have a monster game. The over/under is 58 here so the Falcons will need to do everything they can to keep up. The only challenge here is the price.

Nobody is talking about Keenan Allen this week so I am going to talk about Keenan Allen this week. He had a great Week 1, picking right up where he left off from last year, but a very quiet Week 2 & 3. He did not have the big stat line last week, but he did have 10 targets so they have not forgotten about him. He has a primo matchup this week against Leon Hall and a bad Raiders secondary in what is sure to be a high scoring game.

Stefon Diggs is the Vikings receiver to target this week. He is going to see a lot of Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills and the Eagles this week which should mean big things for him as Corey Davis of the Titans torched these guys a week ago and the Bucs made them look equally ridiculous in Week 2. The Vikings cannot run the football and their defense has been abysmal this season. This should trigger a high scoring game where the Vikings are desperately trying to keep up. Diggs will be over 100 yards again this week with at least 10 targets.

I wanted to write up Marvin Jones this week for the Lions, but he was a late add to the injury report yesterday which is never a good thing late in the week. However, there really is no reason not to like Golden Tate this week who has been excellent this season and has also eclipsed 20 DK points in his last three starts against Green Bay. He has one of the best WR/CB matchups on the board this week against Jaire Alexander and an over/under of 51 for the game.

I know that we usually do not chase players that seem TD dependent, but Calvin Ridley is again in a good spot this week against the Steelers who have made a habit of giving up the deep ball this season, which is where Ridley makes most of his plays. Fortunately, for Ridley, Julio is always going to be getting the most attention each week so he’s going to benefit from getting one on one coverage all afternoon. He’ll probably need a TD to make value, but the odds are in his favor going against this defense.

With Evan Engram still out, Sterling Shepard should continue to get a lot of looks on offense for the Giants this week. He’s going to see a lot of Captain Munnerlyn in the slot and that does not scare me in the least. The way this game looks on paper is that the Panthers will be out in front so Shepard should be in line to catch plenty of shorter passes underneath all day to try to keep the ball moving. His targets have been on the rise the last few weeks and he’s delivered for the Giants. I expect that to continue this week.

Doug Baldwin is down to $5k this week and probably one to lock up in cash this week. The Rams are projected to be well ahead of the Seahawks which means that Russell Wilson will have to throw it often to try to keep them in the game. Adam Thielen shredded these guys out of the slot last week making Sam Shields and Nickell Robey-Coleman look lost for much of the game.

 

TE	DK	FD
Zach Ertz	6500	7500
Travis Kelce	6000	7700
George Kittle	5400	6400
Jimmy Graham	4700	6100
Vance McDonald	3700	4600
Antonio Gates	2800	4800

 

Paying up might be a good option this week. You have to be able to shift gears in a hurry in the NFL and last season’s darlings on defense, the Vikings, are now this year’s garbage. The Vikes have been getting shredded by opposing TEs going back to the NFC title game last season and it has been ugly. Anthony Barr is just not a good player at LB despite the physical tools. His reads are slow and without any pressure being generated up front with the absence of Everson Griffen, he’s been very beatable this year. Expect Zach Ertz to continue that trend this week.

If the Packers are as banged up as advertised this week against the Lions, Jimmy Graham is going to have to be the one to shoulder the load with a bunch of youngsters starting at WR this week. Detroit ranks 27th against the TE this season so he’s definitely in a spot to do it.

Vance McDonald became a true Steeler when he slammed Conte to the ground with a stiff arm on his way to a 75 yard TD the other week and since then, he’s been the favorite for the Steelers in getting targets. He’s only averaging 5 targets per game, but in a high point total game like this week, and with a low salary, he’s one you should keep in mind.

 

DEF	DK	FD
Chargers	3100	4400
Ravens	2800	4200
Eagles	2600	4200
Jets	2600	4200

 

I think the Ravens are probably the best play here this week. I am not totally sold on the Browns and the Ravens really impressed me in shutting down the Steelers last week in Pittsburgh. I also like Eagles at home this week against the Vikings. On the road, the Eagles are very beatable. When they are back at the Link, they lock it down hard. The Vikings have a terrible offensive line, they can’t run the ball and when they become one dimensional, the Eagles are going to put a ton of pressure on Cousins and cause sacks and turnovers.