The Daily Spin – GPP Strategies Part II – 2017 Update

In our first installment on GPP strategy, I began to outline some of the ideas that Jeff and I have covered extensively over the last few years, but never really focus on all at one time. We heard so much noise and debate about lineup construction when we initially started FGI and even now from time to time, that we thought it was important to go through each year and to dig into the data to see what the numbers can tell us in terms of how winning lineups are built and if there are any sort of patterns that stand out over a season.

 

For the last three seasons, we have started to track the data to see what types of lineups tend to win GPP events of various sizes. Our belief from the outset has always been that there is an art to lineup construction that is underappreciated and only understood by a handful of players throughout the industry. Our instincts were pretty clear on the matter. In cash games, you want to try to minimize risk. There is no extra value gained between being at the top of the field or from just barely cashing so it does not make a whole lot of sense to think outside the box in owning those players that are only owned by 0-3% of the field for a given week. When you are right, it is simply another player through the cut, but when you are wrong, you are punished to a much greater degree as only you, and a small handful of others are hurt. That is the biggest reason why using the chalk plays is less of a risk. If 40% of players are on a golfer that misses the cut, then it does not necessarily wipe out your chances of winning for a given week.

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