The Daily Spin – DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Preview Weekend Edition – Travelers Championship
We are off to a great start this week. The entire core made it through the cut along with enough of our secondary players to set us up for an exciting weekend. However, we cannot get too excited yet as an MDF is now looming with more than 78 players making it through the cut. Foe those of you unfamiliar with the rules, anytime more than 78 players makes it through the cut, the tour institutes a secondary cut after the third round where the tournament plays back down to the Top-70 players and ties. Those who fall below the mark on Saturday will receive the designation of Made cut Did not Finish (MDF). They get paid, but they are finished playing after the third round. This makes the weekend contests dramatically different than normal as there is a lot of elevated risk around who gets to Sunday and who goes home. There are a lot of good players who are hovering around the MDF line this week and at least a few are going to miss out on the 4th round. Foe that reason alone, I will be cutting back my exposure to all weekend contests this week as the MDF takes away a little bit of our edge.
One of the interesting things to follow this week will be if roster selection matches up with the risk of the MDF. Most weeks, people fire away with little regard to strategy, current position or projected position. My thought this week is to try to take advantage of this if it shows up again. I am going to really try to focus on selecting players that are at least a couple of shots in front of the Saturday cut with my riskier selections revolving around the absolute best players left in the field. Getting full rosters to Sunday is going to be an obvious advantage so try not to dive too deep into the players sitting right on the line tonight. I played this deadly game a couple of weeks ago and the consequences were that I killed a number of otherwise very competitive teams.
In looking at the weather for tomorrow, we have rains that are expected to start tonight and continue late into the morning. The result of the forecast is that the tee times have been moved back to 10:45 AM tomorrow morning (EST) with groups of three teeing off on both the front and back nine to try to get the round in as quickly as possible. Winds are expected to be between 10-13 mph so that it does not appear that there will be an advantage on tee times tomorrow. On Sunday, winds are light for the morning and peak at around 9 mph in the afternoon. The rains will make the greens even slower than they are now so I am not anticipating great challenges although scoring has been somewhat mild so far.
We have seen the best players in the world have mixed results so far in this event. Jordan Spieth roared to life early as I expected and has raced out to an early lead. Rory McIlroy played well on Thursday and then struggled on Friday and just barely made it through the cut. Jason Day and missed a short putt on the final hole on Friday to miss the cut and then slapped owners across the face by writing down a 4 instead of a 3 on the third hole, wiping out a birdie, a three birdie streak and pushing him two shots below the cut. Also, as I suspected, Justin Thomas showed up in body, but not in mind and was never competitive throughout the first two rounds, despite an apparent fit for the course. He missed the cut badly so hopefully, you took my rare advice on a fade play and avoided his meltdown. For the rest of the field, the strong players performed well and many are still in the conversation going into the weekend as I think anyone within five or six strokes is still alive and I think we will see a few players make a run on Saturday.
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