Jeff’s Hardcore Core- PGA Championship

Jeff Bergerson
By Jeff Bergerson August 7, 2017 22:13

Jeff’s Hardcore Core- PGA Championship

I usually say that without the winner in your core, you most likely are not going to win a large field GPP and that was certainly the case for the WGC Bridgestone.  Especially when the winner is a popular selection and routes the field, amassing mega DFS points like Hideki Matsuyama did.  Adding insult to injury, I am a big Matsuyama guy, featured him in my Crystal Ball article for 2017, and include him most every week in my Hardcore Core.  Firestone just has never been a course that he has contended at, until now and it just proves the point that the worlds best can compete anywhere.

Outside of not having Matsuyama in the core, I would say that the majority of the core was very good, but of course we had a few duds mixed in as well.  The highlights included Thomas Pieters (4th) who was available for $7,300 and was only owned by about 11% of the field in most GPPs, which was glorious to see Thursday morning.  Thomas, Steele, Berger, Dufner, Schwartzel, Noren, were all decent.  The biggest disappointment for me was easily Justin Rose, who frankly stunk from start to finish.  I have no idea what was wrong with him, because he had played well there on several occasions, but was just lost last week.  Overall, I am disappointed with the result as I have had a ton of success with small-field no-cut events the last several years.  We had been on such a great run, that it is inevitable to have a week like that occasionally, it is just never easy.  This week we need to really bear down, study hard, and continue the success we have had with major tournaments.  Again as I remind you every major, do not forget cash games. A ton of novices play these weeks and we can take advantage of their mistakes in cash games and add to our bankroll.

I am so excited for this week, because I feel that Team FGI always has an edge over the field as far as game theory, roster composition, and overall strategy when it comes to GPPs.  This week we also have solid information as far as course history (which is unusual for the PGA Championship), real current form (nobody is coming off a long break, since most everybody played last week), and an accurate depiction of what stats we need to look at thanks to the regression model that has been used for The Wells Fargo Championship in the past.  All of this information will reduce variance and give us stronger information than we normally have for this event.  I feel good about the strategy I am going to employ this week and our prospects overall.

Jeff’s Strategy & Hardcore Core- PGA Championship.
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Jeff Bergerson
By Jeff Bergerson August 7, 2017 22:13

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