Jeff’s Hardcore Core- AT&T Pebble Beach

It was a roller coaster of emotions last week starting on Thursday as J.J Spaun was forced to withdraw taking down about 10% of my lineups right off the bat.  That combined with Webb Simpson and Jordan Spieth playing extremely poorly and missing the cut, it really put my week in jeopardy.  Fortunately some dynamic performances from guys like Fowler and Rahm who were 1-2 on the leaderboard heading into Sunday combined with amazing efforts from Hadley (T5), Kuchar (T5), Hossler (T17), and Reed (T17), gave a bunch of my lineups a significant chance to do damage on Sunday.  It took an epic collapse by both Fowler and Rahm, who I stacked together on quite a few lineups to dash my hopes of winning a GPP.  I had two teams in the $333 last week and one team was Fowler, Rahm, Hadley, Reed, Molinari, and Horschel all of which made the cut, which was not easy to do last week.  For much of the first three days, I was hovering in the Top 10.  Heading into Sunday I was sitting in 8^th place and was looking for a some points from Molinari, Horschel, and Reed early and then let the big dogs compete to win in the afternoon.  What I witnessed in the afternoon from Fowler and Rahm was sickening.  Both of them played poorly and unintelligentlely costing themselves any chance to keep up with surging Reavie and Woodland.  It is always disappointing not to have a horse in the race on Sunday, but it is also hard to stomach when you really have a legitimate chance at $50,000 and two of the very best players in the world do not produce and cost you that chance.  At any rate, we continue to grind away and research in an effort to keep putting ourselves in position to hit the big score, because really that is the only thing we can do.

This week’s Draftking’s pricing brings some very interesting strategy and game theory into play when building lineups.  I thought back to last years AT&T Pebble Beach event and Draftkings did the same bizarre thing with their pricing, with a handful of guys priced inexplicably low like Shane Lowry at $7,000 and Adam Hadwin at $7,300 both of which ended up being owned by between 30-40% of the field.  This week a Rafa Cabrera Bello and Austin Cook will both be in similar situations as Hadwin and Lowry last year and I expect ownership to be similar as well.  The question becomes do we try and capitalize on the value, absorb the ownership, and try and be contrarian elsewhere -or- do we strategically fade them and hope for a poor performance and try and dodge a large percentage of the field?

Jeff’s Strategy & Hardcore Core- AT&T Pebble Beach
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